What's On My Mind: Tragedies, stars, and a summer blip

A weekly conversation on some topics that were on @HT_ED's mind. ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ 

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Saturday, 07 June 2025
Good morning!

The wisdom of (avoiding) crowds

Sound as it may as a case of throwing the baby out with the bathwater, the best way to prevent stampedes in India may be to crack down on large public events — to the extent possible.

Why?

Because every public event in India is a disaster-in-waiting.

One, most Indian venues, including cricket stadia, are poorly designed, especially in terms of exits (and entrances).

Two, most Indians are indisciplined — evident from the lack of queues everywhere, and the fact that no one thinks twice about taking the wrong side of the road if there’s a jam on the right side.

Three, crowd management is a joke in India, with cops waving around lathis actually doing more harm than good. It’s probably time to retire these relics of India’s colonial history.

Four, there are too many VIPs in India, and managing their entry and exit and ensuring their comfort takes up too much of the already low bandwidth of the inadequate pool of poorly trained people managing crowds.

Five, everyone cuts corners — from the star hotel thinking it's alright to cover its pool with planks and make it a dance floor for NYE (yes, it happened), to the local tentwallah hurriedly nailing together a stage for a political meeting.

The proclivity of any public event in India seeing a stampede doesn’t lessen the tragedy of one, though. And in any stampede, it is women, children, and old people that account for a majority of the victims.

The stampede during the celebration to mark Royal Challengers Bengaluru’s first title in the Indian Premier League ticked almost all of these boxes. The state government has reacted predictably, suspending senior policemen despite all reports, including in Hindustan Times, suggesting that the police wanted the celebration be deferred to Sunday, but being persuaded by the government to go ahead with two celebrations, minus a victory parade , on Wednesday. The government has also named officials of RCB, its event management agency and the state cricket association (which controls the stadium) in its complaint.

One would expect that if there were one thing the administrators of a country of 1.4 billion people would be good at, it would be crowd management.

That’s not the case.

Indeed, the stampede outside the Chinnaswamy stadium on Wednesday was no different from what happened at New Delhi Railway Station in February .

And it will happen again. That’s a given.

How to win (new) friends and influence people

In some parts of the country, notably Gurugram and its soul-sister down south, Bengaluru — they were already similar; then, the non-verbal interactions spawned by the why-can’t-you-speak-Kannada brigade made them even more so — you can’t throw a beer bottle without hitting a leadership coach.

Everyone, most of all failed CEOs and sportspersons whose careers can at best be described as middling, is a leadership coach. What is surprising, though, is the number of people queueing up to avail their services. Clearly there’s a fourth category in the continuum: some are born leaders; others become leaders; some others have leadership thrust upon them; and, still others believe they can be coached into becoming good leaders.

Perhaps they can.

I’m writing about leadership because L’affaire Tharoor is all about that — although it is also about an organisation managing a star employee (which, of course, starts with the admission that the employee is a star, but I’m getting ahead of myself).

A political party isn’t a company (although, the allegation against the Gandhis in the National Herald case is just about this, whatever be the merits of that). Elsewhere in the world, Elon Musk is discovering what Paul Krugman wrote in the Harvard Business Review in 1996 , that a country is not a company.

That’s especially true from the perspective of managing the economy.

Musk is also discovering what a 19th century British politician has to say about allies, enemies and interests, a quote that has since been simplified to say something about there being no permanent friends or enemies, only permanent interests. But again, I am getting ahead….

There are certain aspects of organisational management (and behaviour) and leadership that are common — to companies, countries, political parties, and, of course, cricket teams.

Beyond a certain level (which varies), star employees like to work for companies that are in a growth market or, at the least, in growth mode; that can provide them with fulfilling work; that can make them become better at what they do and acquire new skills; and that can help them achieve their goals.

Leaving aside the debate about whether Tharoor is a star or not — it isn’t really germane to this discussion — it’s interesting to see what the Congress can give him.

I’m also side-stepping the debate on whether or not Tharoor would have won his Parliament seat without the umbrella of the Congress. The demographics of his constituency suggest he may not have, but that’s a different discussion for a different time. He has won, is in Parliament, and while, not a mass-leader, is a sought-after speaker and columnist, and has a huge following among young people in urban areas (I should know; he was a judge at a debate competition we recently hosted).

The answer to the question is: organisational responsibilities, but doing so would require it to trust him; the opportunity to be its face (or at least one of its faces), within and outside Parliament, but doing so runs the risk of him outshining others, including Rahul Gandhi.

Definitional aspects apart — the Congress is unlikely to ever admit that Tharoor, or anybody else who is not a Gandhi, is a star — the real question for the party is whether it even wants stars. Its behaviour would suggest that it does not.

This, not the BJP-led government’s attempt to make hay of the Congress’ discomfiture, is the real problem (Honestly, what were they expected to do? Empathise with the Congress).

There’s only one way in which this ends.

     

One swallow doesn’t a summer (surprise) make

The Congress finds itself in a situation that isn’t unfamiliar to it, and has, indeed, largely been the norm since late 2013. Ironically, this is not how the results of the 2024 Lok Sabha election suggested things would pan out. Back in June 2024, the Bharatiya Janata Party formed the government for the third time (with the support of allies in the National Democratic Alliance), but the party could have been forgiven for believing it had actually lost. And back in June 2024, the Congress, which almost touched the three-digit mark in terms of number of seats in the Lok Sabha, and the united Opposition — together, their numbers were just shy of the BJP’s — could have been forgiven for believing they had won. But the past 12 months have proved that 2024 was a blip, not a trend.

There are various explanations for the BJP’s performance in the 2024 national election. The one I subscribe to was explained by my colleague Roshan Kishore in a column back in June last year . Rather than loosen its purse strings ahead of the election, in the interim budget it presented in February 2024, the BJP-led NDA government sought to focus on fiscal consolidation. There may have been a touch of overconfidence related to its electoral prospects in this move. As it turns out — and as is usually the case — that overconfidence was misplaced. But since then, the BJP hasn’t put a foot wrong — and the Congress has lost one election where everyone thought it was a sure winner (Haryana), and a second where it seemed to have a clear upper hand (Maharashtra), and seen its big (and newly acquired) ideology of social justice (manifested in its demand for the caste census) be hijacked by the BJP.

With election season kicking off later this year with the Bihar election — there are four more states that go to polls next year, including West Bengal and Tamil Nadu (where the BJP has made up with one of its oldest alliance partners, the AIADMK) — the BJP seems to have laid the ghosts of 2024 to rest.

There is such a thing as a free lunch

The decision on a national caste census indicates that the BJP wants to add social justice as the third pillar to the two that have driven its election strategy for almost a decade, Hindutva and welfarism.

Welfarism is now a constant across political parties, though — its most evident manifestation being in cash handout schemes that now power election campaigns.

The emphasis on cash handouts, and the consequent need for cash, may also explain an open-mindedness among even states ruled by parties opposed to the BJP to sign off on higher Goods and Services Tax rates at the GST Council.

So, when the 12% rate is done away with — as my colleague Rajeev Jayaswal reported it could be — the chances are that most of the products and services that currently attract this rate, will move the higher one (18%), rather than the lower one (5%).

While on the subject of rates, the Reserve Bank of India’s Monetary Policy Committee on Friday, effected a 50 basis point (half a percentage point) cut in the policy rate. Given heightened global uncertainty, growth needs all the help it can get.

200 years of anything but solitude

It’s summer (although it doesn’t really feel like it in many parts of India after a May that saw the seventh lowest maximum temperatures since 1901 ) and for a certain generation of Indians, a season that once involved long train journeys. Railways turn 200 this year and M G (Ambi) Parameswaran, another of Wknd’s regular columnists, honoured the milestone with an essay that marries history and economics , culture and geography, and RK Stevenson to Jethro Tull.

It was a complete coincidence that the Prime Minister decided to inaugurate the engineering marvel that is the rail bridge at Chenab on Friday. HT Wknd has been closely tracking this, and other rail bridges .

PS: Those still enamoured by the romance of rail travel may enjoy HT Wknd’s immersive offering on India’s most enthralling train journeys .

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Till next week. Send in your bouquets and brickbats to sukumar.ranganathan@hindustantimes.com

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